| All informed predictions of future performance are based upon some knowledge of relevant past performance: school grades, research productivity, sales records, or whatever is appropriate. How well the predictions will be validated by later performance depends upon the amount, reliability, and appropriateness of the information used and on the skill and wisdom with which it is interpreted. Anyone who keeps careful score knows that the information available is always incomplete and that the predictions are always subject to error. | |
| 所有已知的对将来行为的预测都是基于对过去某些相关经验的了解的基础之上的：学校成绩、科研生产力、销售业绩，或诸如此类。这些预测在多大程度上被后来的表现证实，这取决于被采用信息的数量、可靠性和适宜性以及解释这些信息的技能和才智。任何仔细记分的人都知道可用的信息总是不完整的，预测总是容易出现错误。 |
| All informed predictions of future performance are based upon some knowledge of relevant past performance: school grades, research productivity, sales records, or whatever is appropriate. How well the predictions will be validated by later performance depends upon the amount, reliability, and appropriateness of the information used and on the skill and wisdom with which it is interpreted. Anyone who keeps careful score knows that the information available is always incomplete and that the predictions are always subject to error. | |
| suo you yi zhi de dui jiang lai xing wei de yu ce dou shi ji yu dui guo qu mou xie xiang guan jing yan de liao jie de ji chu zhi shang de: xue xiao cheng ji ke yan sheng chan li xiao shou ye ji, huo zhu ru ci lei. zhei xie yu ce zai duo da cheng du shang bei hou lai de biao xian zheng shi, zhe qu jue yu bei cai yong xin xi de shu liang ke kao xing he shi yi xing yi ji jie shi zhei xie xin xi de ji neng he cai zhi. ren he zi xi ji fen de ren dou zhi dao ke yong de xin xi zong shi bu wan zheng de, yu ce zong shi rong yi chu xian cuo wu. |
| All informed predictions of future performance are based upon some knowledge of relevant past performance: school grades, research productivity, sales records, or whatever is appropriate. How well the predictions will be validated by later performance depends upon the amount, reliability, and appropriateness of the information used and on the skill and wisdom with which it is interpreted. Anyone who keeps careful score knows that the information available is always incomplete and that the predictions are always subject to error. | |
| suǒ yǒu yǐ zhī de duì jiāng lái xíng wéi de yù cè dōu shì jī yú duì guò qù mǒu xiē xiāng guān jīng yàn de liǎo jiě de jī chǔ zhī shàng de: xué xiào chéng jī kē yán shēng chǎn lì xiāo shòu yè jī, huò zhū rú cǐ lèi. zhèi xiē yù cè zài duō dà chéng dù shàng bèi hòu lái de biǎo xiàn zhèng shí, zhè qǔ jué yú bèi cǎi yòng xìn xī de shù liàng kě kào xìng hé shì yí xìng yǐ jí jiě shì zhèi xiē xìn xī de jì néng hé cái zhì. rèn hé zǐ xì jì fēn de rén dōu zhī dào kě yòng de xìn xī zǒng shì bù wán zhěng de, yù cè zǒng shì róng yì chū xiàn cuò wù. |
YouTube Results (More on YouTube)